Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 7.537498 8.637952 9.860508 11.322430 13.026994 14.956378 17.312306
2025-02-09 6.232569 7.689560 9.444829 11.726746 14.631740 18.228578 23.053673
2025-02-16 5.170215 6.719824 8.697263 11.427557 15.133619 20.037506 27.098278
2025-02-23 4.494344 6.092058 8.228313 11.327134 15.762959 21.968238 31.455245
2025-03-02 3.979390 5.589914 7.830728 11.222213 16.306047 23.772889 35.811482
2025-03-09 3.549979 5.144256 7.441103 11.050076 16.686248 25.333779 39.962584
2025-03-16 3.175433 4.730072 7.040268 10.793989 16.876797 26.586998 43.752962
2025-03-23 3.030721 4.640477 7.107968 11.255153 18.232305 29.830774 51.287154
2025-03-30 2.834102 4.446984 6.988693 11.392319 19.056198 32.274690 57.767898
2025-04-06 2.622139 4.206391 6.766400 11.326105 19.511736 34.118115 63.398954
2025-04-13 2.424913 3.970405 6.526572 11.198351 19.832690 35.741241 68.825447
2025-04-20 2.332091 3.900028 6.556611 11.544077 21.046878 39.156195 78.313084
2025-04-27 2.223901 3.796056 6.522896 11.778232 22.095114 42.421339 88.107163
2025-05-04 2.157901 3.760005 6.605144 12.235997 23.631505 46.861491 101.202403
2025-05-11 1.990065 3.525572 6.304929 11.925402 23.585631 48.029141 107.126630
2025-05-18 1.866046 3.361189 6.119714 11.820394 23.947446 50.102078 115.506051
2025-05-25 1.752994 3.207948 5.941828 11.710447 24.282386 52.152967 124.177732
2025-06-01 1.641856 3.049460 5.740124 11.530043 24.440416 53.819741 132.168835
2025-06-08 1.530707 2.882429 5.507819 11.261679 24.369634 54.941940 138.935570
2025-06-15 1.507855 2.887538 5.620063 11.744974 26.072141 60.523434 158.754299
2025-06-22 1.451710 2.821211 5.580390 11.888740 26.994047 64.314683 174.319683
2025-06-29 1.379397 2.716388 5.451946 11.819339 27.393186 66.834949 186.689262
2025-07-06 1.306655 2.605438 5.301815 11.685440 27.617394 68.930283 198.198047